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Harrow Borough vs Tiverton

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Muhemba E.
57' Event
Wright J.
90' Event
Jones D.

AI Match Summary

Tiverton in this Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiverton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Harrow Borough
15%
Draws
42%
Tiverton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrow Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Harrow Borough have won more games recently than Tiverton.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrow Borough Tiverton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Tiverton
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Harrow Borough
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Tiverton
2:2
Aug 6, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Harrow Borough
0:0
Mar 19, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Harrow Borough
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrow Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhemba E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Tiverton Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrow Borough 31 / 100
Tiverton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrow Borough Tiverton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiverton has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Harrow Borough found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Harrow Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrow Borough VS Tiverton
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrow Borough

(Home)
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2
Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1
FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Tiverton

(Away)
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1
Sholing
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0
Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2
Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesham 42 28 6 8 83:46 90
2 AFC Totton 42 23 12 7 89:45 81
3 Salisbury 42 23 10 9 70:46 79
4 Gosport Borough 42 23 9 10 75:43 78
5 Bracknell Town 42 21 5 16 84:71 68
6 Merthyr Town 42 20 7 15 85:59 67
7 Walton & Hersham 42 18 11 13 78:67 65
8 Hungerford 42 18 10 14 77:70 64
9 Dorchester 42 17 9 16 66:77 60
10 Hendon 42 14 16 12 70:65 58
11 Winchester City 42 15 12 15 63:67 57
12 Basingstoke 42 15 8 19 69:83 53
13 Poole Town 42 16 4 22 70:76 52
14 Tiverton 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
15 Sholing 42 13 10 19 52:63 49
16 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 10 19 73:92 49
17 Hanwell Town 42 12 12 18 64:71 48
18 Plymouth Parkway 42 12 12 18 60:68 48
19 Beaconsfield Town 42 13 9 20 63:78 48
20 Hayes & Yeading 42 11 13 18 59:67 46
21 Harrow Borough 42 10 9 23 60:97 39
22 Didcot 42 6 10 26 45:94 28
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)