Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harstad vs Finnsnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Eilertsen D. M.
38' Event
Lindquist F.
39' Event
Gjerde T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Harstad and Finnsnes finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Harstad
15%
Draws
17%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Finnsnes haven't matched Harstad's recent run of results.
  • Harstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Harstad Clean Sheet 18%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Finnsnes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.86 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Finnsnes
5:1
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Finnsnes
1:5
Apr 13, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Harstad
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Harstad
1:1
Apr 21, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Finnsnes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindquist F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjerde T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Eilertsen D. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 85 / 100
Finnsnes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Finnsnes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Harstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Finnsnes
4.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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Finnsnes

(Away)
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
08 Aug
Finnsnes
2 : 3
Bossekop
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