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Harstad vs Funnefoss/Vormsund

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harstad play Funnefoss/Vormsund in the Division 3 - Group 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harstad averaged 2.44 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. Funnefoss/Vormsund averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Harstad won 1, Funnefoss/Vormsund won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 13, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for Harstad and 1.60 for Funnefoss/Vormsund. This points to a Funnefoss/Vormsund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Harstad
18%
Draws
43%
Funnefoss/Vormsund
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Funnefoss/Vormsund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Harstad picked up more points recently compared to Funnefoss/Vormsund.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 1.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Harstad Clean Sheet 14%
Funnefoss/Vormsund Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Funnefoss/Vormsund
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.44 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Funnefoss/Vormsund
0:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Funnefoss/Vormsund vs Harstad
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Funnefoss/Vormsund vs Harstad
6:1
May 22, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Funnefoss/Vormsund
1:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Funnefoss/Vormsund vs Harstad
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Funnefoss/Vormsund Compare

Top Goalscorer Linthoe T. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butt S. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 38 / 100
Funnefoss/Vormsund 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Funnefoss/Vormsund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Funnefoss/Vormsund or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harstad attacking → ← attacking Funnefoss/Vormsund

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Funnefoss/Vormsund let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Harstad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Funnefoss/Vormsund lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 35
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33