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Hart Academy vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Hart Academy Logo

Hart Academy

1 - 1
FT
Samger Logo

Samger

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Manneh I.
87' Event
Ceesay A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hart Academy
35%
Draws
38%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Hart Academy have won more games recently than Samger.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 20%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hart Academy Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Samger
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Hart Academy
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hart Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceesay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Manneh I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hart Academy 36 / 100
Samger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hart Academy Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hart Academy scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Samger let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Hart Academy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hart Academy VS Samger
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hart Academy

(Home)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)