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Hartberg (Am) vs Leoben

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Steiermark 2025/2026 game between Hartberg (Am) and Leoben finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartberg (Am).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hartberg (Am)
15%
Draws
0%
Leoben
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartberg (Am)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hartberg (Am) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hartberg (Am) a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hartberg (Am) Clean Sheet 16%
Leoben Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg (Am) Leoben
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 2.25 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Steiermark
Hartberg (Am) vs Leoben
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 Steiermark
Leoben vs Hartberg (Am)
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg (Am) 41 / 100
Leoben 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg (Am) Leoben

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartberg (Am)'s goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leoben let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Leoben registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg (Am) VS Leoben
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg (Am)

(Home)
19 Sept
Hartberg (Am)
2 : 2
Tillmitsch
11 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
3 : 0
Hartberg (Am)
04 Sept
SC Weiz
2 : 1
Hartberg (Am)
30 Aug
Hartberg (Am)
1 : 4
Allerheiligen
21 Aug
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
4 : 0
Hartberg (Am)
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Leoben

(Away)
15 Sept
Leoben
0 : 5
SV Union Gnas
11 Sept
SV Schermann Rorhrbach
6 : 2
Leoben
04 Sept
Leoben
1 : 2
SV Wildon
28 Aug
Leoben
1 : 2
Furstenfeld
21 Aug
Hohenhaus Schladming
3 : 1
Leoben
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