Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartberg vs LASK Linz

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mbuyamba X.
30' Event
Kalajdzic S.
Assist: Usor M.
46'
Sub
Fridrikas L. In: Havel E.
Out: Fridrikas L.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hartberg and LASK Linz finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LASK Linz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hartberg
30%
Draws
27%
LASK Linz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LASK Linz come out ahead of Hartberg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hartberg a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg LASK Linz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs LASK Linz
3:3
Apr 26, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs LASK Linz
1:5
Mar 13, 2026 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Hartberg
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs LASK Linz
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Hartberg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Havel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

LASK Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalajdzic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mbuyamba X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg 74 / 100
LASK Linz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg LASK Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Hartberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hartberg found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: LASK Linz conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg VS LASK Linz
1.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg

(Home)
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
22 Aug
Altach
1 : 2
Hartberg
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LASK Linz

(Away)
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
1 : 6
LASK Linz
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 3
LASK Linz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LASK Linz 32 17 7 8 56:42 39
2 Sturm Graz 32 16 8 8 51:35 37
3 Salzburg 32 13 9 10 56:41 29
4 Austria Vienna 32 14 5 13 45:50 29
5 Rapid Vienna 32 12 8 12 36:41 27
6 Hartberg 32 10 12 10 40:40 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)