Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartberg vs Ried

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Malicsek L.
6' Event
Hoffmann M.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Chukwudi S.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Hartberg and Ried finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hartberg
30%
Draws
33%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ried come out ahead of Hartberg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hartberg have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 13%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg Ried
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Ried
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Ried
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Hartberg
0:2
May 27, 2023 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Ried
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Bundesliga
Ried vs Hartberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karner J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwudi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aisowieren E. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg 30 / 100
Ried 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Hartberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hartberg scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg VS Ried
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg

(Home)
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
22 Aug
Altach
1 : 2
Hartberg
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Ried

(Away)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)