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Hartenholm vs TSB Flensburg

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Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2016/2017 game between Hartenholm and TSB Flensburg finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSB Flensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hartenholm
30%
Draws
39%
TSB Flensburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSB Flensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSB Flensburg come out ahead of Hartenholm on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hartenholm a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hartenholm Clean Sheet 16%
TSB Flensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartenholm TSB Flensburg
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.57 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hartenholm vs TSB Flensburg
1:5
Aug 13, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Hartenholm
4:4
Apr 2, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Hartenholm
1:2
Oct 10, 2015 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hartenholm vs TSB Flensburg
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartenholm 36 / 100
TSB Flensburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartenholm TSB Flensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Hartenholm's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

TSB Flensburg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 43 outings.

Hartenholm has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS TSB Flensburg
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartenholm

(Home)
20 May
Eutin 08
3 : 2
Hartenholm
14 May
Hartenholm
4 : 2
Oldenburger SV
06 May
Hartenholm
4 : 1
TSG Concordia Schonkirchen
29 Apr
Hartenholm
2 : 2
Todesfelde
26 Apr
Hartenholm
3 : 3
Kilia Kiel
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TSB Flensburg

(Away)
03 Oct
SC Rapid Lubeck
0 : 5
TSB Flensburg
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0
Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4
Eckernforder SV
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4
TSB Flensburg
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eutin 08 34 29 4 1 100:23 91
2 Holstein Kiel II 34 21 7 6 73:34 70
3 VfR Neumunster 34 21 4 9 76:41 67
4 TSB Flensburg 34 18 8 8 85:48 62
5 Flensburg 08 34 18 8 8 79:47 62
6 NTSV Strand 08 34 19 4 11 74:50 61
7 Heider SV 34 17 7 10 71:47 58
8 Schilksee 34 17 6 11 75:45 57
9 Todesfelde 34 15 7 12 72:57 52
10 TSV Lagerdorf 34 14 5 15 59:63 47
11 Frisia Risum-Lindholm 34 12 7 15 54:68 43
12 PSV Neumunster 34 11 8 15 54:65 41
13 Hartenholm 34 9 8 17 52:73 35
14 TSV Kropp 34 9 5 20 53:75 32
15 Oldenburger SV 34 9 4 21 52:95 28
16 Altenholz 34 9 1 24 37:89 28
17 TSG Concordia Schonkirchen 34 5 4 25 46:115 19
18 Kilia Kiel 34 4 1 29 32:109 13
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)