Sport Picks
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT 
Match Events
21'
21'
Williams R.
Assist: McCartney D.
26'
26'
Anderson S.
34'
34'
Tregarthen S.
AI Match Summary
Hartford Athletic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartford Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hartford Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Hartford Athletic have won more games recently than Birmingham Legion.
- Hartford Athletic are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 15%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartford Athletic | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion
3:2
Mar 11, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Coffey B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ngalina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartford Athletic 41 / 100
Birmingham Legion 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartford Athletic Birmingham Legion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartford Athletic's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Birmingham Legion let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Hartford Athletic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hartford Athletic VS Birmingham Legion
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartford Athletic
(Home) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Birmingham Legion
(Away) 03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
29 Aug
Hartford Athletic
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
16 Aug
Colorado Springs
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
