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Hartford Athletic vs Charleston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartford Athletic host Charleston in the USL Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hartford Athletic at 1.24 goals for, 1.03 against; Charleston at 2.1 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Charleston slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Charleston. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hartford Athletic
30%
Draws
39%
Charleston
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charleston come out ahead of Hartford Athletic on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hartford Athletic taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 16%
Charleston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Charleston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.24 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston
1:2
May 3, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
4:2
Jul 12, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston
2:2
May 4, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 36 / 100
Charleston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Charleston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Charleston let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Hartford Athletic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hartford Athletic scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartford Athletic VS Charleston
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartford Athletic

(Home)
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

Charleston

(Away)
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2
Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2
Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
Charleston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)