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Hartford Athletic vs Lansdowne Yonkers

USA USA

US Open Cup 2023 Trinity Health Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Hartford Athletic play Lansdowne Yonkers in the US Open Cup 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hartford Athletic averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Lansdowne Yonkers averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Hartford Athletic won 1, Lansdowne Yonkers won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Hartford Athletic and 1.06 for Lansdowne Yonkers. This points to a Hartford Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hartford Athletic
15%
Draws
40%
Lansdowne Yonkers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Lansdowne Yonkers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 22%
Lansdowne Yonkers Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Lansdowne Yonkers
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2023 US Open Cup
Hartford Athletic vs Lansdowne Yonkers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoh E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lansdowne Yonkers Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 45 / 100
Lansdowne Yonkers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Lansdowne Yonkers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hartford Athletic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hartford Athletic attacking → ← attacking Lansdowne Yonkers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartford Athletic scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Lansdowne Yonkers let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lansdowne Yonkers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 15
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00