Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC

USA USA

USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartford Athletic play Orange County SC in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hartford Athletic averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Orange County SC averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Hartford Athletic won 0, Orange County SC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 27, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Hartford Athletic and 1.31 for Orange County SC. This points to a Hartford Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hartford Athletic
27%
Draws
34%
Orange County SC
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Orange County SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 18%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Orange County SC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Hartford Athletic
3:2
Apr 1, 2023 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 39 / 100
Orange County SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Orange County SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hartford Athletic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hartford Athletic attacking → ← attacking Orange County SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartford Athletic scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Orange County SC let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orange County SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 43
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1346310:1118
8Miami FC1445517:2317
9Rhode Island1244422:1616
10Birmingham Legion1427515:1813
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1576223:1627
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
7FC Tulsa1354417:1619
8Lexington1353521:1618
9Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
10Sacramento Republic1244413:1216
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215