Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting Jax

USA USA

USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Neville H.
21' Event
Scarlett J.
Assist: Anderson S.
48'
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Hartford Athletic and Sporting Jax finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartford Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Hartford Athletic
20%
Draws
17%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hartford Athletic come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hartford Athletic a 63% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Sporting Jax
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.34 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Sporting Jax
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Hartford Athletic
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarlett J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samadia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Sporting Jax Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 85 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartford Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hartford Athletic's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hartford Athletic VS Sporting Jax
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartford Athletic

(Home)
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Jax

(Away)
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 26 15 7 4 45:23 52
2 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
3 Detroit City 25 11 8 6 29:19 41
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
6 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
7 Indy Eleven 25 9 6 10 32:31 33
8 Rhode Island 24 9 5 10 35:28 32
9 Miami FC 26 7 9 10 32:43 30
10 Birmingham Legion 25 4 11 10 36:42 23
11 Loudoun United 25 4 11 10 31:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 25 4 6 15 25:49 18
13 Sporting Jax 26 3 5 18 31:69 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 26 14 5 7 45:32 47
2 New Mexico 25 12 7 6 39:30 43
3 Lexington 26 12 4 10 46:32 40
4 Sacramento Republic 25 10 10 5 33:22 40
5 Colorado Springs 26 11 6 9 40:37 39
6 Orange County SC 26 10 9 7 35:40 39
7 FC Tulsa 25 10 8 7 30:24 38
8 San Antonio FC 26 9 11 6 29:28 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 25 9 6 10 32:35 33
10 Oakland Roots 26 8 9 9 33:35 33
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 26 4 6 16 27:46 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)