Sport Picks
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT 
Match Events
26'
26'
Adedokun M.
Assist: Anaku S.
41'
41'
Ngalina M.
43'
43'
Hilton L.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartford Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tampa Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Tampa Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tampa Bay's way, sitting at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 19%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
3:1
Jun 13, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
3:2
Jul 16, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Adedokun M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anaku S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tampa Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Wyke L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartford Athletic 28 / 100
Tampa Bay 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartford Athletic Tampa Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartford Athletic found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Hartford Athletic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tampa Bay has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hartford Athletic VS Tampa Bay
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartford Athletic
(Home) 10 Oct
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 1 Hartford Athletic
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Tampa Bay
(Away) 10 Oct
Indy Eleven
1 : 3 Tampa Bay
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Indy Eleven
1 : 3 Tampa Bay
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
22 Aug
Detroit City
1 : 0 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
