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Hartford Athletic vs Westchester SC

USA USA

USL Cup Trinity Health Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartford Athletic play Westchester SC in the USL Cup. Hartford Athletic are favorites here. Recently, Hartford Athletic averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Westchester SC averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Hartford Athletic won 1, Westchester SC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Hartford Athletic and 1.06 for Westchester SC. This points to a Hartford Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Hartford Athletic
16%
Draws
28%
Westchester SC
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Westchester SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 22%
Westchester SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Westchester SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Westchester SC vs Hartford Athletic
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 55 / 100
Westchester SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Westchester SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartford Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hartford Athletic & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hartford Athletic attacking → ← attacking Westchester SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartford Athletic scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Westchester SC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Westchester SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72