Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
45'
45'
Eccleston N.
46'
46'
Sub
McKeown C. In: John C.
Out: McKeown C.
46'
46'
Eccleston N.
AI Match Summary
Eastleigh in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastleigh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastleigh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Eastleigh haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 13%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartlepool Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Eastleigh Compare
Top Goalscorer Khumbeni N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 31 / 100
Eastleigh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Eastleigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastleigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Hartlepool found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Hartlepool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Eastleigh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2 Marine
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2 Marine
13 Oct
Hartlepool
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 4
Eastleigh
(Away) 31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1 Eastleigh
28 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 0 Eastleigh
24 Oct
Eastleigh
4 : 2 Boston United
17 Oct
Eastleigh
3 : 2 Brentwood
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1 Eastleigh
28 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 0 Eastleigh
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
