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Hartlepool vs Everton U21

England England

National League Cup Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Everton U21 have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Hartlepool have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Hartlepool slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2022, ending 0:6. The numbers (1.89 xG vs 1.63) point toward Hartlepool. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
21%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hartlepool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hartlepool's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Hartlepool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Everton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 14%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Everton U21
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2022 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Everton U21
0:6
Nov 2, 2021 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Everton U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 48 / 100
Everton U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Everton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartlepool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Everton U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Everton U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0
Hartlepool
28 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Eastleigh
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1
Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

Everton U21

(Away)
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
21 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 1
Liverpool U21
18 Aug
Stockport County
6 : 3
Everton U21
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)