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Hartlepool vs Everton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Penprase J.
6'
Sub
Popov C. In: Thornton C.
Out: Popov C.
9' Event
Lambert R.
Assist: Gardner L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
46%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Everton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Everton U21, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Everton U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 14%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Everton U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Hartlepool vs Everton U21
0:1
Oct 18, 2022 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Everton U21
0:6
Nov 2, 2021 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Everton U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Everton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambert R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 35 / 100
Everton U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Everton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Hartlepool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Everton U21
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1
Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3
Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1
Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
Page 1 of 6

Everton U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3
Everton U21
27 Oct
Shrewsbury
2 : 1
Everton U21
20 Oct
Everton U21
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach II
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
13 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Everton U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 4 3 0 1 16:8 9
2 Scunthorpe 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 10:5 8
4 Wolves U21 4 3 0 1 5:6 7
5 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 5:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 5
7 Derby U21 4 1 0 3 9:11 5
8 Stoke City U21 4 0 0 4 3:17 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Ipswich U21 4 3 0 1 8:5 8
3 Hornchurch 4 2 0 2 7:3 7
4 Braintree 4 2 0 2 8:7 7
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:9 5
6 Worthing FC 4 1 0 3 4:5 4
7 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 4
8 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:13 4
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 3 0 1 15:5 10
2 Middlesbrough U21 4 3 0 1 17:9 9
3 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Tamworth 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 Hartlepool 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Woking 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Sutton 4 3 0 1 4:3 8
4 West Brom U21 4 2 0 2 3:4 5
5 Birmingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:9 5
6 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 4
7 Boston United 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 0 4 3:7 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)