Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartlepool vs Harrogate

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool host Harrogate in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Harrogate have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Hartlepool have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Hartlepool have won 2 to Harrogate's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2023, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.50) back Harrogate to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
64%
Harrogate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Harrogate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Harrogate's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 16%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Harrogate
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Hartlepool vs Harrogate
1:2
Jan 1, 2023 League Two
Hartlepool vs Harrogate
3:3
Nov 26, 2022 FA Cup
Hartlepool vs Harrogate
3:1
Oct 15, 2022 League Two
Harrogate vs Hartlepool
2:1
Aug 30, 2022 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Harrogate
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 23 / 100
Harrogate 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Harrogate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Harrogate conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Hartlepool found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Hartlepool remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Harrogate
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
Page 1 of 6

Harrogate

(Away)
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2
Harrogate
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
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