Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Rochdale
England
National League 2025/2026 Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
40'
40'
Gilmour H.
62'
62'
Sub
Allarakhia T. In: Adebayo-Rowling T.
Out: Allarakhia T.
62'
62'
Sub
Gilmour H. In: Pettit C.
Out: Gilmour H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartlepool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rochdale lately — more wins on the board than Hartlepool.
- Win probability leans Hartlepool's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Rochdale
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Rochdale vs Hartlepool
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Rochdale vs Hartlepool
5:1
Sep 24, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Rochdale
0:3
Apr 1, 2024 National League
Rochdale vs Hartlepool
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 47 / 100
Rochdale 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Rochdale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Rochdale conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Hartlepool stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Rochdale
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0 Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3 Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0 Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3 Southend
18 Apr
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 3
Rochdale
(Away) 08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3 Halifax
25 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 2 Farnham
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3 Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0 Rochdale
10 May
Boreham Wood
2 : 3 Rochdale
18 Apr
Braintree
1 : 2 Rochdale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
