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Hartlepool vs Tamworth Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between Hartlepool and Tamworth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamworth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
85%
Tamworth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tamworth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tamworth are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 14%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Tamworth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Hartlepool
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Tamworth
1:1
Feb 11, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Tamworth
2:2
Dec 10, 2024 FA Trophy
Hartlepool vs Tamworth
1:2
Aug 20, 2024 National League
Tamworth vs Hartlepool
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 23 / 100
Tamworth 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Tamworth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tamworth's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Tamworth
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

Tamworth

(Away)
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
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