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Stadium Background

Hartlepool vs Woking

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
McNally R.
31'
Asare Z.
32'
Sub
Merrick M. In: Fisher N.
Out: Merrick M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Hartlepool and Woking finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Hartlepool
20%
Draws
58%
Woking
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Woking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartlepool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 17%
Woking Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Woking
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 National League
Woking vs Hartlepool
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Woking vs Hartlepool
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 36 / 100
Woking 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Woking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Woking Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Woking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hartlepool went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Woking
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
Page 1 of 7

Woking

(Away)
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
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