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Hartlepool vs Woking - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
McNally R.
31'
Asare Z.
32'
Sub
Merrick M. In: Fisher N.
Out: Merrick M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Hartlepool and Woking finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
51%
Woking
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Woking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartlepool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Woking are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Woking Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Woking
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 National League
Woking vs Hartlepool
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Woking
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Woking vs Hartlepool
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 22 / 100
Woking 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Woking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Woking Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Woking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hartlepool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Woking
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1
Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3
Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1
Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
Page 1 of 6

Woking

(Away)
03 Nov
Woking
3 : 1
Birmingham U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1
Woking
27 Oct
Woking
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
24 Oct
Scunthorpe
2 : 3
Woking
17 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 2
Woking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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