Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2014/2015

Hartley Wintney

Tue, Sep 9, 2014

0 - 1

06:30 PM

Ardley United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2014/2015 game between Hartley Wintney and Ardley United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ardley United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Hartley Wintney

Draws

Ardley United

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hartley Wintney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hartley Wintney come out ahead of Ardley United on wins alone.
Hartley Wintney are the model's pick here, at 90%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2014/2015 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Hartley Wintney Clean Sheet 20%

Ardley United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hartley Wintney	Ardley United
Matches Played	32	10
Wins	6	3
Draws	9	2
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	4.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2014 FA Cup

Hartley Wintney vs Ardley United

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Sep 2, 2014 FA Cup

Ardley United vs Hartley Wintney

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartley Wintney 85 / 100

Ardley United 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hartley Wintney Ardley United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardley United has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hartley Wintney scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hartley Wintney remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hartley Wintney VS Ardley United

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 4.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Spennymoor3

Bishop Auckland2

Marske United2

Dunston4

Salford2

Nantwich0

Brighouse Town1

Ashton United2

TBD-

Telford-

King’s Lynn7

Boston Town0

TBD-

Hednesford-

United of Manchester4

Prescot Cables1

West Allotment Celtic0

Lancaster5

Buxton3

Ramsbottom Utd2

Bridlington Town1

Newcastle Benfield3

Bradford PA-

TBD-

AFC Fylde-

Grimsby-

TBD-

Halesowen3

Sutton Coldfield Town0

Hereford2

Ellistown3

Droylsden4

Ossett Albion0

TBD-

Guiseley-

Alfreton-

TBD-

Lincoln City-

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Wrexham-

Chorley-

TBD-

Northwich Victoria2

Glossop North End3

Workington2

Consett0

Squires Gate4

Bamber Bridge5

TBD-

Halifax-

Barwell2

Coleshill Town1

FC Wisbech Town0

Norwich Utd1

Scarborough Athletic3

Ashington2

Burscough0

Curzon Ashton1

TBD-

Altrincham-

Leek Town2

Stourport1

Stafford0

Tividale4

Dereham3

Neots2

TBD-

Boston United-

Mickleover3

Staveley Miners0

Boldmere St Michaels0

Bedworth United3

Skelmersdale4

Radcliffe3

Darlington FC0

Blyth Spartans3

Gateshead-

TBD-

Marine2

Ossett Town1

TBD-

Hyde-

Farsley2

Frickley1

TBD-

Gainsborough-

Tamworth-

TBD-

Romulus2

Rushall3

Coalville Town5

Belper Town3

TBD-

Lowestoft-

TBD-

Southport-

Dorchester2

Yate1

Milton United0

Abingdon3

Leiston2

Haverhill Borough0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds0

Hendon1

TBD-

Bristol Rovers-

Dartford-

TBD-

Sutton-

TBD-

Sudbury1

Romania3

Fleet Town2

Knaphill1

Croydon FC2

Burgess Hill3

Maidstone10

Littlehampton0

London Colney0

Brentwood1

Dorking Wanderers4

Pagham2

Arlesey1

Biggleswade Town2

TBD-

Welling-

FC Witham Town4

Bowers & Pitsea0

Bognor Regis0

Lewes1

London Tigers1

Brightlingsea0

Cambridge City2

Needham Market4

Flackwell Heath5

Wantage4

TBD-

Salisbury-

Banbury1

Bishops Cleeve0

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Eastbourne Borough-

TBD-

Felixstowe & Walton0

Enfield Town5

Romford1

Bury Town0

Horsham FC0

Kingstonian4

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Weymouth3

Mangotsfield0

Tiverton0

Bideford1

Raynes Park Vale2

Ramsgate1

Hadleigh0

Billericay4

TBD-

Braintree-

Canvey Island4

Hertford Town1

Thame United1

Burnham FC2

Margate3

Folkestone1

Northwood3

Barton4

Wingate & Finchley6

Ipswich Wanderers5

Daventry1

Hitchin2

Swindon Supermarine2

AFC Totton0

TBD-

Havant & Waterlooville-

St. Albans-

TBD-

Hayes & Yeading-

Farnborough-

TBD-

Brackley-

Winchester City3

Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC0

Horndean0

Newport Isle of Wight1

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Concord Rangers-

Basingstoke-

TBD-

Bodmin Town4

Bridgwater United5

Hythe4

Whitstable Town0

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Waltham Abbey3

Barkingside1

Northampton Sileby1

North Greenford Utd.3

VCD Athletic3

Hampton & Richmond2

AFC Hayes2

Harrow Borough3

Aldershot-

TBD-

Torquay-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Chippenham Town1

Sholing0

Slough Town1

Ardley United2

Dunstable Town4

Chesham3

TBD-

Hemel Hempstead-

Norton United5

Corby4

Holwell0

Spalding United4

Barrow-

TBD-

Witton Albion3

Runcorn Town5

Shildon3

Whitby2

TBD-

Stalybridge-

Blaby & Whetstone4

Tipton Town1

Market Drayton1

Stourbridge3

Colwyn Bay-

TBD-

Clitheroe1

Harrogate Railway3

Sheffield FC3

Shepshed2

Trafford0

Warrington Town1

Grantham Town4

Clipstone1

Lincoln Utd.2

Stamford3

Cleethorpes3

Carlton Town2

TBD-

North Ferriby United-

Stockport County-

TBD-

Harrogate-

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Matlock1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)2

TBD-

Chester-

East Thurrock Utd4

Hornchurch3

South Park2

Metropolitan Police5

Stortford-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers1

Tooting & Mitcham2

Bath City-

TBD-

Bradford Town0

Poole Town4

Oxford City-

TBD-

Cirencester1

Shortwood2

Staines-

TBD-

Biggleswade United1

Leverstock Green2

Paulton Rovers3

Taunton Town1

TBD-

Gloucester City-

TBD-

Forest Green-

Willand Rovers2

Saltash United1

Sherborne Town2

Blackfield & Langley3

Thurrock2

Welwyn Garden0

Tilbury0

Aveley4

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Leatherhead1

Faversham2

Larkhall2

Truro0

TBD-

Gosport Borough-

Leamington-

TBD-

Mildenhall1

Wroxham3

Rugby4

Chasetown2

TBD-

Worcester-

Redhill1

Carshalton0

Herne Bay0

Tonbridge6

Beaconsfield Town2

Godalming Town1

Chessington & Hook0

Greenwich Borough1

Evesham1

Redditch0

Newmarket0

Histon3

Kettering2

Aylesbury Vale1

Hungerford1

Chalfont St Peter2

Grays6

Harlow4

Whyteleafe1

Hastings2

Uxbridge6

Bedfont & Feltham0

TBD-

Bromley-

Whitehawk-

TBD-

Chipstead5

Merstham6

Worthing FC3

Dulwich Hamlet0

TBD-

Chelmsford-

TBD-

Barnet-

Woking-

TBD-

Frome Town2

Wimborne0

Longwell Green Sports0

Folland1

East Preston2

Peacehaven & Telscombe0

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Quarter-finals

Spennymoor4

Dunston1

Salford1

Ashton United2

TBD-

Telford-

King’s Lynn1

Hednesford0

United of Manchester0

Lancaster1

Buxton2

Newcastle Benfield0

Bradford PA3

AFC Fylde4

Grimsby-

TBD-

Halesowen7

Ellistown1

Droylsden0

Guiseley1

Alfreton-

TBD-

Lincoln City-

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Wrexham-

Chorley1

Glossop North End0

Workington0

Bamber Bridge1

TBD-

Halifax-

Barwell2

Norwich Utd0

Scarborough Athletic0

Curzon Ashton1

TBD-

Altrincham-

Leek Town3

Tividale2

Dereham1

Boston United3

Mickleover4

Bedworth United1

Skelmersdale1

Blyth Spartans4

Gateshead-

TBD-

Marine5

Hyde4

Farsley1

Gainsborough4

Tamworth2

Rushall1

Coalville Town0

Lowestoft5

TBD-

Southport-

Dorchester2

Abingdon0

Leiston1

Hendon4

TBD-

Bristol Rovers-

Dartford-

TBD-

Sutton3

Romania2

Fleet Town0

Burgess Hill4

Maidstone2

Brentwood1

Dorking Wanderers2

Biggleswade Town3

TBD-

Welling-

FC Witham Town4

Lewes2

London Tigers2

Needham Market5

Flackwell Heath-

Salisbury-

Banbury0

Weston-super-Mare3

Eastbourne Borough6

Enfield Town5

Romford3

Kingstonian5

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Weymouth4

Bideford1

Raynes Park Vale1

Billericay2

TBD-

Braintree-

Canvey Island1

Burnham FC0

Margate1

Barton2

Wingate & Finchley3

Hitchin0

Swindon Supermarine0

Havant & Waterlooville3

St. Albans1

Hayes & Yeading0

Farnborough2

Brackley3

Winchester City4

Newport Isle of Wight3

Wealdstone1

Concord Rangers3

Basingstoke2

Bridgwater United0

Hythe1

Ebbsfleet7

Waltham Abbey1

North Greenford Utd.0

VCD Athletic0

Harrow Borough4

Aldershot-

TBD-

Torquay-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Chippenham Town1

Ardley United0

Dunstable Town0

Hemel Hempstead2

Norton United2

Spalding United1

Barrow0

Runcorn Town1

Shildon1

Stalybridge0

Blaby & Whetstone2

Stourbridge5

Colwyn Bay3

Harrogate Railway2

Sheffield FC1

Warrington Town3

Grantham Town2

Stamford1

Cleethorpes1

North Ferriby United2

Stockport County2

Harrogate1

Solihull Moors0

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)1

TBD-

Chester-

East Thurrock Utd4

Metropolitan Police3

Stortford1

Tooting & Mitcham3

Bath City3

Poole Town1

Oxford City1

Shortwood2

Staines5

Leverstock Green0

Paulton Rovers2

Gloucester City3

TBD-

Forest Green-

Willand Rovers1

Blackfield & Langley0

Thurrock0

Aveley2

Maidenhead4

Faversham0

Larkhall3

Gosport Borough10

Leamington4

Wroxham1

Rugby1

Worcester3

Redhill2

Tonbridge1

Beaconsfield Town1

Greenwich Borough3

Evesham3

Histon1

Kettering0

Chalfont St Peter1

Grays1

Hastings0

Uxbridge1

Bromley5

Whitehawk2

Merstham1

Worthing FC0

Chelmsford6

TBD-

Barnet-

Woking-

TBD-

Frome Town2

Folland1

East Preston2

Boreham Wood3

Semi-finals

Spennymoor1

Ashton United0

TBD-

Telford-

King’s Lynn3

Lancaster2

Buxton0

AFC Fylde1

Grimsby-

TBD-

Halesowen0

Guiseley3

Alfreton-

TBD-

Lincoln City-

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Wrexham-

Chorley4

Bamber Bridge1

TBD-

Halifax-

Barwell2

Curzon Ashton1

TBD-

Altrincham-

Leek Town2

Boston United0

Mickleover1

Blyth Spartans2

Gateshead-

TBD-

Marine0

Gainsborough4

Tamworth1

Lowestoft0

TBD-

Southport-

Dorchester1

Hendon0

TBD-

Bristol Rovers-

Dartford-

TBD-

Sutton1

Burgess Hill3

Maidstone2

Biggleswade Town0

TBD-

Welling-

FC Witham Town2

Needham Market1

Flackwell Heath1

Weston-super-Mare4

Eastbourne Borough3

Kingstonian2

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Weymouth1

Billericay0

TBD-

Braintree-

Canvey Island1

Barton0

Wingate & Finchley0

Havant & Waterlooville2

St. Albans2

Brackley0

Winchester City2

Concord Rangers3

Basingstoke2

Ebbsfleet1

Waltham Abbey1

Harrow Borough2

Aldershot-

TBD-

Torquay-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Chippenham Town0

Hemel Hempstead5

Norton United5

Runcorn Town2

Shildon2

Stourbridge0

Colwyn Bay1

Warrington Town2

Grantham Town1

North Ferriby United2

Stockport County1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)0

TBD-

Chester-

East Thurrock Utd2

Tooting & Mitcham1

Bath City5

Shortwood3

Staines3

Gloucester City4

TBD-

Forest Green-

Willand Rovers3

Aveley2

Maidenhead1

Gosport Borough4

Leamington1

Worcester3

Redhill0

Greenwich Borough1

Evesham4

Chalfont St Peter1

Grays0

Bromley5

Whitehawk5

Chelmsford8

TBD-

Barnet-

Woking-

TBD-

Frome Town2

Boreham Wood3

Stage 5

TBD-

Stage 4

TBD-

Stage 3

TBD-

Stage 2

TBD-

Stage 1

TBD-

Final

Spennymoor2

Telford5

King’s Lynn3

AFC Fylde4

Grimsby3

Guiseley0

Alfreton2

Lincoln City6

Macclesfield3

Wrexham6

Chorley0

Halifax5

Barwell0

Altrincham3

Leek Town3

Blyth Spartans4

Gateshead4

Gainsborough0

Tamworth2

Southport3

Dorchester1

Bristol Rovers7

Dartford3

Burgess Hill1

Maidstone2

Welling1

FC Witham Town1

Weston-super-Mare2

Eastbourne Borough0

Dover Ath.1

Weymouth3

Braintree5

Canvey Island0

Havant & Waterlooville3

St. Albans0

Concord Rangers1

Basingstoke5

Harrow Borough2

Aldershot2

Torquay0

Kidderminster0

Eastleigh1

Nuneaton0

Hemel Hempstead2

Norton United3

Shildon2

Warrington Town1

North Ferriby United0

Stockport County2

Chester4

East Thurrock Utd7

Bath City1

Gloucester City1

Forest Green4

Willand Rovers1

Gosport Borough3

Worcester2

Greenwich Borough1

Evesham1

Bromley2

Chelmsford1

Barnet4

Woking2

Boreham Wood1