Sport Picks

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Hasselt vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Venue Stedelijk Sportstadion, Hasselt
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Van Keymolen S.
26'
Sub
Gomes P. In: Sambu M.
Out: Gomes P.
35'
Bounou M.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Hasselt and Dender finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hasselt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Hasselt
20%
Draws
7%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dender haven't matched Hasselt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hasselt a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hasselt have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 20%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hasselt Dender
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.7 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Hasselt vs Dender
1:0
Feb 18, 2017 National Division 1
Hasselt vs Dender
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 National Division 1
Dender vs Hasselt
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Keymolen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dender Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hasselt 85 / 100
Dender 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hasselt Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hasselt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hasselt's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Dender's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Hasselt remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Dender has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hasselt VS Dender
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hasselt

(Home)
08 Aug
Hasselt
4 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
01 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
1 : 4
Hasselt
25 Jul
KSK Tongeren
0 : 10
Hasselt
19 Jul
Hasselt
0 : 2
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
02 Aug
Oudenaarde
5 : 0
Dender
01 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
3 : 0
Dender
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dender 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Eupen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Virton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Francs Borains 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Patro Eisden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Hasselt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Sporting Lokeren 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Beerschot VA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Lierse SK 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 RFC Liege 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 RFC Seraing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Gent U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Club Brugge U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Genk U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Anderlecht U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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