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Hasselt vs Dender - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Venue Stedelijk Sportstadion, Hasselt
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Match Events

7' Event
Van Keymolen S.
26'
Sub
Gomes P. In: Sambu M.
Out: Gomes P.
35'
Bounou M.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Hasselt and Dender finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hasselt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hasselt
15%
Draws
49%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Dender haven't matched Hasselt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dender a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hasselt have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 12%
Dender Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hasselt Dender
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Hasselt vs Dender
1:0
Feb 18, 2017 National Division 1
Hasselt vs Dender
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 National Division 1
Dender vs Hasselt
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Keymolen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dender Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hasselt 27 / 100
Dender 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hasselt Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hasselt's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dender's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Solid form: Hasselt remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hasselt VS Dender
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hasselt

(Home)
31 Oct
Club Brugge U23
3 : 4
Hasselt
16 Oct
Hasselt
1 : 2
Cercle Brugge
10 Oct
Virton
3 : 4
Hasselt
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
19 Sept
Hasselt
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
09 Oct
Dender
3 : 0
Club Brugge U23
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
20 Sept
Dender
1 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 9 8 0 1 23:7 24
2 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
3 Eupen 7 5 0 2 14:7 15
4 Hasselt 8 5 0 3 12:13 15
5 Sporting Lokeren 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
6 Patro Eisden 9 4 0 5 14:15 12
7 Francs Borains 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
8 Gent U23 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
9 Virton 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
10 Club Brugge U23 8 2 3 3 14:17 9
11 Genk U23 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 Lierse SK 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
13 RFC Seraing 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 RFC Liege 9 1 2 6 13:22 5
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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