Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hatayspor vs Adanademirspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Mersin Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kaynak O.
Own Goal
8'
Chaadaev R.
18'
Sub
Aksoy E. In: Ozen S.
Out: Aksoy E.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Hatayspor and Adanademirspor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hatayspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hatayspor
6%
Draws
4%
Adanademirspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hatayspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hatayspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hatayspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 16%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Adanademirspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 27
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Adanademirspor
4:0
Dec 1, 2025 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Hatayspor
3:3
May 17, 2025 Super Lig
Adanademirspor vs Hatayspor
0:5
Dec 23, 2024 Super Lig
Hatayspor vs Adanademirspor
1:3
Jan 27, 2024 Super Lig
Adanademirspor vs Hatayspor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ating P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durmushan U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Adanademirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 84 / 100
Adanademirspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Adanademirspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanademirspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Adanademirspor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Hatayspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Adanademirspor
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54