Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hatayspor host Erbaaspor in the 2. Lig White Group. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Hatayspor at 0.72 goals for, 2.38 against; Erbaaspor at 1.07 for, 1.83 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.69, favoring Erbaaspor. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hatayspor
15%
Draws
57%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erbaaspor lately — more wins on the board than Hatayspor.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 13%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.72 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 35 / 100
Erbaaspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erbaaspor conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Erbaaspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Hatayspor's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Hatayspor remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Erbaaspor
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
11 Oct
Hatayspor
0 : 3
Elazigspor
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
11 Oct
Guzide Gebzespor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
4 Guzide Gebzespor 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
5 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
6 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 6 2 1 3 14:14 7
11 Soma Spor 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 6 1 1 4 2:7 -2
18 Adanademirspor 6 2 1 3 6:9 -41
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)