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Hatayspor vs Soma Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hatayspor host Soma Spor in the 2. Lig White Group. Soma Spor are expected to control this from the start. Soma Spor have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Hatayspor have conceded 2.45 and scored 0.76. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back Soma Spor to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hatayspor
15%
Draws
85%
Soma Spor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Soma Spor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Soma Spor's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 15%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Soma Spor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.76 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 27 / 100
Soma Spor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Soma Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soma Spor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Soma Spor conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Soma Spor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hatayspor scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Soma Spor
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
01 Nov
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Hatayspor
24 Oct
Hatayspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
17 Oct
Sanliurfaspor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
11 Oct
Hatayspor
0 : 3
Elazigspor
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
Page 1 of 6

Soma Spor

(Away)
04 Nov
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
01 Nov
Soma Spor
0 : 2
Corluspor
28 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0
Soma Spor
24 Oct
Guzide Gebzespor
4 : 1
Soma Spor
18 Oct
Soma Spor
1 : 2
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 9 7 1 1 27:7 22
2 Musspor 9 7 1 1 29:13 22
3 Guzide Gebzespor 9 6 3 0 17:8 21
4 Aliaga 9 7 0 2 19:14 21
5 Inegol Kafkas 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
6 Sanliurfaspor 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
7 Corluspor 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
8 Erbaaspor 9 4 1 4 19:15 13
9 Menemenspor 9 4 1 4 11:10 13
10 Isparta 32 Spor 9 3 2 4 16:20 11
11 Aksaray Bld. 9 2 3 4 15:14 9
12 Sebat Spor Kulubu 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
13 Ankaraspor 9 3 0 6 11:16 9
14 Soma Spor 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
15 Kastamonuspor 9 2 1 6 7:26 4
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 9 0 0 9 4:21 -3
17 Hatayspor 9 1 1 7 4:17 -5
18 Adanademirspor 9 2 1 6 7:19 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)