Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haugar W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Haugar W, backed by a win probability of 62%. Haugar W averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Aalesund W shows a form average of 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Haugar W, 2 wins for Aalesund W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.08.15 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Haugar W and 1.43 for Aalesund W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Aalesund W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Haugar W
15%
Draws
62%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Haugar W picked up more points recently compared to Aalesund W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Haugar W Clean Sheet 17%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haugar W Aalesund W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.08.15 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Haugar W
1:0
26.04.15 Division 1 Women
Haugar W vs Aalesund W
2:0
09.10.11 Division 1 Women
Haugar W vs Aalesund W
1:0
18.06.11 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Haugar W
3:2
24.10.10 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Haugar W
2:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Haugar W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aalesund W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haugar W 24 / 100
Aalesund W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haugar W Aalesund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aalesund W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Aalesund W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Haugar W 25%
Aalesund W 50%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Haugar W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Aalesund W's early runs.

Haugar W 22%
Aalesund W 65%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Aalesund W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Haugar W tries to push forward.

Haugar W 23%
Aalesund W 62%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Aalesund W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Haugar W 24%
Aalesund W 59%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Haugar W's defense, opening up opportunities for Aalesund W's forward line.

Haugar W 21%
Aalesund W 68%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Aalesund W to manage the closing stages, while Haugar W searches for late drama.

Haugar W 26%
Aalesund W 71%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haugar W attacking → ← attacking Aalesund W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haugar W have found the net in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Aalesund W have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Haugar W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aalesund W suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 73
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valerenga W20143352:2245
2Fart W20133453:2542
3Floya W20105543:2635
4Grand Bodo W2096544:3133
5Sarpsborg 08 W2087542:3231
6Avaldsnes W2085735:3729
7Aalesund W20721142:5223
8Voss W2047916:3419
9Sola W20371024:4416
10Alta W20361125:4715
11Haugar W20431320:4615