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Stadium Background

Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sigurjonsson O.
20' Event
Heimisson A.
28' Event
Halldorsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Haukar and KFG Gardabaer finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haukar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Haukar
15%
Draws
7%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haukar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Haukar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Haukar a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Haukar Clean Sheet 17%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haukar KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
May 21, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar
0:4
Jul 25, 2025 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
1:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar
1:4
Jul 21, 2024 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haukar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurjonsson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haukar 84 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haukar KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haukar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haukar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

KFG Gardabaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Haukar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haukar VS KFG Gardabaer
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Haukar

(Home)
14 Aug
Haukar
3 : 1
Hviti
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2
Haukar
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
24 Jul
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Haukar
Page 1 of 6

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
25 Jul
Magni
1 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5
Kari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 17 12 2 3 43:22 38
2 Selfoss 17 9 5 3 40:31 32
3 Kari 17 7 8 2 45:27 29
4 Fjolnir 17 7 4 6 42:38 25
5 Olafsvik 17 7 4 6 24:29 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 17 6 6 5 34:24 24
7 Dalvik/Reynir 17 6 3 8 25:28 21
8 Magni 17 6 3 8 30:42 21
9 KFA 17 6 2 9 38:35 20
10 Throttur Vogar 17 6 1 10 28:33 19
11 Hviti 17 3 7 7 21:32 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 17 4 1 12 24:53 13
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