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Havadar SC vs Foolad Novin Ahvaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Tehran
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Havadar SC host Foolad Novin Ahvaz in the Azadegan League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Havadar SC at 0.9 goals for, 0.9 against; Foolad Novin Ahvaz at 1.59 for, 1.17 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 0.63, favoring Foolad Novin Ahvaz. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Havadar SC
35%
Draws
56%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foolad Novin Ahvaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Foolad Novin Ahvaz have won more games recently than Havadar SC.
  • Foolad Novin Ahvaz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 20%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havadar SC Foolad Novin Ahvaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havadar SC 12 / 100
Foolad Novin Ahvaz 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havadar SC Foolad Novin Ahvaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Novin Ahvaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad Novin Ahvaz let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Havadar SC scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Havadar SC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Foolad Novin Ahvaz has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havadar SC VS Foolad Novin Ahvaz
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
50% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Havadar SC

(Home)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
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Foolad Novin Ahvaz

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0 : 1
Niroye Zamini
08 May
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
1 : 0
Meshki Pooshan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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