Sport Picks
Havadar SC vs Mes Kerman
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Tehran 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mansouri M.
79'
79'
Akashe A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Havadar SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mes Kerman lately — more wins on the board than Havadar SC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Havadar SC | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 15 | 14 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 15, 2026 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Havadar SC
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Havadar SC vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Oct 7, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Kerman vs Havadar SC
0:1
Jul 12, 2021 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Havadar SC
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Havadar SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mansouri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mes Kerman Compare
Top Goalscorer Akashe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Havadar SC 41 / 100
Mes Kerman 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Havadar SC Mes Kerman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Havadar SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Havadar SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Havadar SC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mes Kerman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Havadar SC VS Mes Kerman
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Havadar SC
(Home) 16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0 Havadar SC
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Havadar SC
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1 Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 1 Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1 Damash Gilan
15 Jun
Havadar SC
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
02 Jun
Havadar SC
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 May
Havadar SC
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 4
Mes Kerman
(Away) 16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0 Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Mes Kerman
1 : 1 Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0 Mes Kerman
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
15 Jun
Havadar SC
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
02 Jun
Fard
0 : 2 Mes Kerman
21 May
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0 Mes Kerman
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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