Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Havadar SC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Iran Iran

Azadegan League Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Havadar SC play Shenavarsazi Qeshm in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Havadar SC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Shenavarsazi Qeshm averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Havadar SC won 1, Shenavarsazi Qeshm won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 29, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Havadar SC and 0.63 for Shenavarsazi Qeshm. This points to a Havadar SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Havadar SC
35%
Draws
20%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Havadar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Havadar SC picked up more points recently compared to Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 29%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havadar SC Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 14 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havadar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghaseminejad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havadar SC 46 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havadar SC Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havadar SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Havadar SC attacking → ← attacking Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havadar SC scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Havadar SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 25
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218