Sport Picks
Havant & Waterlooville vs Tiverton Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Billington G.
6'
6'
Seager R.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Horne A.
AI Match Summary
Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiverton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Havant & Waterlooville average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Tiverton's 1.
- Model gives Tiverton a 76% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Havant & Waterlooville have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Havant & Waterlooville | Tiverton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Tiverton
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Havant & Waterlooville vs Tiverton
4:2
Mar 4, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:0
Nov 20, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Tiverton
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Havant & Waterlooville Compare
Top Goalscorer Seager R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aston M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Tiverton Compare
Top Goalscorer Billington G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Horne A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Havant & Waterlooville 10 / 100
Tiverton 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Havant & Waterlooville Tiverton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tiverton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tiverton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Havant & Waterlooville found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Havant & Waterlooville stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Havant & Waterlooville VS Tiverton
1 Goals Scored 1.6
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Havant & Waterlooville
(Home) 29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1 Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3 Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1 Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1 Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3 Taunton Town
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Chippenham Town
29 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
3 : 3 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 3
Tiverton
(Away) 26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1 Sholing
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0 Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2 Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2 Tiverton
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2 Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2 Tiverton
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
11 Apr
Bracknell Town
8 : 0 Tiverton
03 Apr
Sholing
2 : 1 Tiverton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
