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Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haverfordwest host Cardiff Metropolitan University in the Cymru Premier. This one's hard to separate. Cardiff Metropolitan University have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Haverfordwest have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Haverfordwest slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Haverfordwest to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
59%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Haverfordwest have won more games recently than Cardiff Metropolitan University.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 17%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 1 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Dec 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 31 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Cardiff Metropolitan University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haverfordwest found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cardiff Metropolitan University conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Haverfordwest went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
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Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Away)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)