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Haverfordwest vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sconce J.
22'
Bibby T.
23' Event
Ahmun B.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Haverfordwest and Holywell Town FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
21%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haverfordwest come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Haverfordwest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Haverfordwest have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 20%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Holywell Town FC
1:0
Apr 30, 1999 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Haverfordwest
4:0
Oct 9, 1998 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Holywell Town FC
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmun B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Holywell Town FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Holywell Town FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Holywell Town FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)