Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haverfordwest vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hawkins D.
12' Event
Ahmun B.
24'
Rees D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Haverfordwest and Llanelli finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
12%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Haverfordwest are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haverfordwest here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 68%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Llanelli
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.47 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
8:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
6:0
Feb 20, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Haverfordwest
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 FA Cup
Llanelli vs Haverfordwest
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkins D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmun B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 95 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanelli conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Haverfordwest found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Llanelli registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Llanelli
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3
Penybont
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
01 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
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Llanelli

(Away)
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0
Llanelli
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4
Newport City
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)