Sport Picks

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Hawassa vs Adama City

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hussein A.
18' Event
Hussein A.
20' Event
Kebede G.

AI Match Summary

Adama City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adama City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hawassa
30%
Draws
34%
Adama City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hawassa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Adama City haven't matched Hawassa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hawassa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawassa Adama City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
0:2
Jun 24, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eshetu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Adama City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aitken B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawassa 46 / 100
Adama City 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawassa Adama City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Hawassa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adama City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Hawassa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hawassa VS Adama City
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635