Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Hussein A.
18'
18'
Hussein A.
20'
20'
Kebede G.
AI Match Summary
Adama City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adama City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adama City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Adama City haven't matched Hawassa's recent run of results.
- Model gives Hawassa a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
0:2
Jun 24, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eshetu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Adama City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aitken B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 46 / 100
Adama City 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Adama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Hawassa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Adama City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Hawassa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Adama City
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 4
Adama City
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
04 May
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Adama City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
