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Hawassa vs Mechal SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Hawassa Logo

Hawassa

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Mechal SC Logo

Mechal SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hawassa host Mechal SC in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mechal SC have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Hawassa have conceded 0.9 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Hawassa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward Mechal SC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hawassa
30%
Draws
31%
Mechal SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hawassa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mechal SC have won more games recently than Hawassa.
  • Hawassa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 20%
Mechal SC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawassa Mechal SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Hawassa
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Mechal SC
1:1
May 31, 2025 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Hawassa
1:3
Jan 30, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Mechal SC
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Mechal SC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawassa 58 / 100
Mechal SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawassa Mechal SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hawassa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hawassa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Hawassa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Mechal SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hawassa VS Mechal SC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawassa

(Home)
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1
Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6

Mechal SC

(Away)
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0
Hadiya Hossana
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0
Mechal SC
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2
Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ethio Electric S.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Adama City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Welwalo Adigrat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Halaba Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)