Sport Picks
Hawassa vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
74'
74'
Bekele S.
AI Match Summary
Hawassa in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hawassa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mekelle 70 Enderta FC have won more games recently than Hawassa.
- Model gives Hawassa a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:0
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Hawassa
0:3
Mar 5, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Hawassa
2:5
Dec 5, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0:0
Feb 15, 2020 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Hawassa
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekele S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 46 / 100
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Hawassa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Hawassa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
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02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
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Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
(Away) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 7
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
25 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 May
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 1 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
