Sport Picks
Hawke s Bay vs Tasman United
New Zealand
Football Championship 2019/2020 
AI Match Summary
Hawke s Bay play Tasman United in the Football Championship 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hawke s Bay averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Tasman United averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Hawke s Bay won 2, Tasman United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Hawke s Bay and 1.63 for Tasman United. This points to a Tasman United double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hawke s Bay picked up more points recently compared to Tasman United.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawke s Bay | Tasman United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawke s Bay Compare
Tasman United Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawke s Bay scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Tasman United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Hawke s Bay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Tasman United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 36:15 | 34 |
| 3 | Waitakere United | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 27 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33:26 | 22 |
| 5 | Tasman United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 7 | Southern United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:38 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 30:32 | 18 |
| 9 | Hawke s Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 32:44 | 15 |
| 10 | Canterbury | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | 10 |