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Hay al-Arab vs Haidob Al Nuhod

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hay al-Arab play Haidob Al Nuhod in the Premier League 2022/2023. Haidob Al Nuhod are favorites here. Recently, Hay al-Arab averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Haidob Al Nuhod averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Hay al-Arab won 1, Haidob Al Nuhod won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hay al-Arab and 1.00 for Haidob Al Nuhod. This points to a Haidob Al Nuhod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Hay al-Arab
25%
Draws
60%
Haidob Al Nuhod
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Haidob Al Nuhod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Hay al-Arab picked up more points recently compared to Haidob Al Nuhod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 23%
Haidob Al Nuhod Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay al-Arab Haidob Al Nuhod
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2023 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Haidob Al Nuhod
2:3
Oct 25, 2022 Premier League
Haidob Al Nuhod vs Hay al-Arab
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay al-Arab 18 / 100
Haidob Al Nuhod 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay al-Arab Haidob Al Nuhod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haidob Al Nuhod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Haidob Al Nuhod & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hay al-Arab attacking → ← attacking Haidob Al Nuhod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Haidob Al Nuhod let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hay al-Arab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Haidob Al Nuhod lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 46
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222