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Hay Al Wadi vs Al Fajr

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

Hay Al Wadi host Al Fajr in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Fajr have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Hay Al Wadi have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Hay Al Wadi have won 1 to Al Fajr's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.54 - 1.67) back Hay Al Wadi to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Hay Al Wadi
28%
Draws
50%
Al Fajr
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Fajr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hay Al Wadi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Fajr.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Al Fajr.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 13%
Al Fajr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Al Fajr
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al Fajr
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al Fajr
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 22 / 100
Al Fajr 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Al Fajr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Al Fajr let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hay Al Wadi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Fajr lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay Al Wadi VS Al Fajr
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010