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Hayq vs Araks Ararat

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Hayq and Araks Ararat finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hayq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hayq
20%
Draws
32%
Araks Ararat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hayq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Araks Ararat haven't matched Hayq's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hayq's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hayq Clean Sheet 15%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hayq Araks Ararat
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 First League
Hayq vs Araks Ararat
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 First League
Araks Ararat vs Hayq
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hayq 57 / 100
Araks Ararat 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hayq Araks Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hayq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Hayq found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hayq went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hayq VS Araks Ararat
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hayq

(Home)
24 Aug
Hayq
:
Olympia Yerevan
25 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 4
Hayq
18 May
Hayq
2 : 1
Mika
12 May
Hayq
2 : 0
Araks Ararat
05 May
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 4
Hayq
Page 1 of 6

Araks Ararat

(Away)
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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