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Hayq vs Sardarapat Prediction & H2H Stats

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Hayq
20%
Draws
24%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hayq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hayq lately — more wins on the board than Sardarapat.
  • Win probability leans Hayq's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hayq Clean Sheet 19%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hayq Sardarapat
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 21 17
Draws 2 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 First League
Hayq vs Sardarapat
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 First League
Sardarapat vs Hayq
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hayq 85 / 100
Sardarapat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hayq Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hayq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hayq's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sardarapat let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Hayq remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hayq VS Sardarapat
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hayq

(Home)
24 Aug
Hayq
:
Olympia Yerevan
25 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 4
Hayq
18 May
Hayq
2 : 1
Mika
12 May
Hayq
2 : 0
Araks Ararat
05 May
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 4
Hayq
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Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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