Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2019/2020

Aylesbury United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Haywards Heath play Aylesbury United in the FA Trophy 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haywards Heath averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Aylesbury United averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Haywards Heath won 1, Aylesbury United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.14 for Haywards Heath and 1.39 for Aylesbury United. This points to a Haywards Heath double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Haywards Heath

20%

Draws

26%

Aylesbury United

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haywards Heath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Haywards Heath picked up more points recently compared to Aylesbury United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.14 vs 1.39 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Haywards Heath Clean Sheet 17%

Aylesbury United Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Haywards Heath	Aylesbury United
Matches Played	23	28
Wins	6	5
Draws	5	5
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1.17	1.46
Goals Conceded	2.26	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.40	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.40	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 FA Trophy

Haywards Heath vs Aylesbury United

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haywards Heath 52 / 100

Aylesbury United 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Haywards Heath Aylesbury United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haywards Heath Win (1)

Secondary Pick Haywards Heath & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haywards Heath attacking → ← attacking Aylesbury United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haywards Heath scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Aylesbury United let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Haywards Heath went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aylesbury United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 20

0.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88