Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
de Bruijn J.
53'
53'
Blom S.
65'
65'
Wilderom B.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HBC and DEM finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HBC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- DEM carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives HBC a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
HBC Clean Sheet 12%
DEM Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HBC | DEM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
HBC vs DEM
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs HBC
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HBC Compare
Top Goalscorer de Bruijn J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilderom B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
DEM Compare
Top Goalscorer Blom S.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Vries T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HBC 38 / 100
DEM 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HBC DEM
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DEM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Attacking prowess: HBC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
DEM's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
HBC VS DEM
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
HBC
(Home) 07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1 Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2 Huizen
Page 1 of 6
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
27 May
HBC
3 : 1 Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2 Huizen
10 May
HBC
3 : 3 IJsselmeervogels
21 Apr
HBC
4 : 5 TEC
Page 1 of 3
DEM
(Away) 26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
19 Apr
VV DOVO
0 : 1 DEM
06 Apr
HBC
2 : 2 DEM
15 Mar
Huizen
0 : 1 DEM
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
