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HBC vs Genemuiden Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Noordermeer P.
57' Event
Etten R.
66' Event
Beimers B.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HBC and Genemuiden finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
HBC
15%
Draws
64%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • HBC haven't matched Genemuiden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Genemuiden a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
HBC Clean Sheet 13%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HBC Genemuiden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
HBC vs Genemuiden
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs HBC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vink J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Genemuiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Beimers B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Etten R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HBC 10 / 100
Genemuiden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HBC Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HBC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Genemuiden let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: HBC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HBC VS Genemuiden
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HBC

(Home)
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0
HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1
HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1
Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2
Huizen
Page 1 of 6

Genemuiden

(Away)
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)