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Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Kpandu stadium, Kpandu
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heart of Lions host Berekum Chelsea in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Heart of Lions have averaged 1 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Berekum Chelsea's 1.14 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Heart of Lions slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.44) back Berekum Chelsea to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Heart of Lions
30%
Draws
23%
Berekum Chelsea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heart of Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Berekum Chelsea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Heart of Lions Clean Sheet 16%
Berekum Chelsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heart of Lions Berekum Chelsea
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heart of Lions 30 / 100
Berekum Chelsea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heart of Lions Berekum Chelsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heart of Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Berekum Chelsea conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Heart of Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Berekum Chelsea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heart of Lions VS Berekum Chelsea
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heart of Lions

(Home)
04 Oct
Heart of Lions
3 : 2
Ashanti
27 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 2
Heart of Lions
19 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
13 Sept
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Heart of Lions
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
Page 1 of 6

Berekum Chelsea

(Away)
04 Oct
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
27 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
1 : 1
Vision
20 Sept
Port City
2 : 1
Berekum Chelsea
13 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
3 : 1
Dreams FC
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
5 Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 4:5 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Asante Kotoko 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
9 Ashanti 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
10 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Karela 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Vision 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
13 Swedru All Blacks 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 6:6 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)