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Heartland FC vs Plateau United

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2024/2025 Awka City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Suraju L.
46'
Sub
Mubarak A. In: Ambrose J.
Out: Mubarak A.
46'
Sub
Umar M. In: Pam M.
Out: Umar M.

AI Match Summary

Heartland FC in this NPFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heartland FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Heartland FC
11%
Draws
9%
Plateau United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Heartland FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Plateau United have won more games recently than Heartland FC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Heartland FC taking it.
  • Regular NPFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Heartland FC Clean Sheet 68%
Plateau United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heartland FC Plateau United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Plateau United
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 NPFL
Plateau United vs Heartland FC
3:2
Feb 28, 2024 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Plateau United
1:5
Oct 8, 2023 NPFL
Plateau United vs Heartland FC
1:0
Apr 21, 2022 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Plateau United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heartland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Suraju L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Plateau United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heartland FC 86 / 100
Plateau United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heartland FC Plateau United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plateau United has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Heartland FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Heartland FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Heartland FC VS Plateau United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo Stars382251149:3171
2Rivers United3818101035:2964
3Abia Warriors381861443:4060
4Ikorodu City381781360:4559
5Bendel3815111239:3356
6Enyimba International3814131138:3555
7Plateau United381691340:3854
8Shooting381591439:3854
9Kano Pillars381581544:4553
10Rangers International3814101442:3452
11Bayelsa United3813131239:3652
12Nasarawa United3814101440:4152
13Niger Tornadoes381491540:4651
14Kwara381481638:3650
15Katsina Utd381481630:3650
16El Kanemi Warriors3812131334:4149
17Heartland FC3812121433:3448
18Akwa United381281835:3944
19Sunshine Stars381181934:5141
20Lobi386102229:5628