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Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League University of Ghana Sports Stadium, Accra
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Match Events

5' Event
Antwi J.
31'
Baafi Y.
36' Event
Antwi J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Hearts of Oak and Berekum Chelsea finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts of Oak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts of Oak
30%
Draws
23%
Berekum Chelsea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hearts of Oak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hearts of Oak haven't matched Berekum Chelsea's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hearts of Oak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Hearts of Oak have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 20%
Berekum Chelsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts of Oak Berekum Chelsea
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Hearts of Oak
0:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Hearts of Oak
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts of Oak Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kourouma K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Berekum Chelsea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts of Oak 42 / 100
Berekum Chelsea 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts of Oak Berekum Chelsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berekum Chelsea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Hearts of Oak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Berekum Chelsea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts of Oak VS Berekum Chelsea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts of Oak

(Home)
03 Oct
Dreams FC
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Bechem United
13 Sept
Bibiani Gold Stars
1 : 2
Hearts of Oak
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

Berekum Chelsea

(Away)
04 Oct
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
27 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
1 : 1
Vision
20 Sept
Port City
2 : 1
Berekum Chelsea
13 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
3 : 1
Dreams FC
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Hearts of Oak 6 3 2 1 7:2 11
3 Samartex 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
4 Port City 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ashanti 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Aduana Stars 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Bechem United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
8 Karela 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Holy Stars 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
10 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
11 Heart of Lions 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
12 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
13 Berekum Chelsea 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
14 Bibiani Gold Stars 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
15 Young Apostles 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
16 Vision 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
17 Debibi United 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
18 Dreams FC 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)