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Hearts of Oak vs Holy Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League WAFA Park, Sogakope
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hearts of Oak host Holy Stars in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hearts of Oak have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.43 conceded recently, against Holy Stars's 0.89 scored and 1.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Hearts of Oak slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.75) back Hearts of Oak to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hearts of Oak
20%
Draws
34%
Holy Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts of Oak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holy Stars lately — more wins on the board than Hearts of Oak.
  • Model gives Hearts of Oak a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 20%
Holy Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts of Oak Holy Stars
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Holy Stars
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Holy Stars
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts of Oak 67 / 100
Holy Stars 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts of Oak Holy Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts of Oak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Hearts of Oak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Holy Stars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hearts of Oak scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Holy Stars conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts of Oak VS Holy Stars
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts of Oak

(Home)
11 Oct
Hearts of Oak
1 : 0
Port City
03 Oct
Dreams FC
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Bechem United
13 Sept
Bibiani Gold Stars
1 : 2
Hearts of Oak
Page 1 of 6

Holy Stars

(Away)
11 Oct
Bibiani Gold Stars
2 : 0
Holy Stars
04 Oct
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
20 Sept
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Ashanti
13 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Holy Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Hearts of Oak 6 3 2 1 7:2 11
3 Samartex 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
4 Port City 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ashanti 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Aduana Stars 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Bechem United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
8 Karela 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Holy Stars 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
10 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
11 Heart of Lions 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
12 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
13 Berekum Chelsea 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
14 Bibiani Gold Stars 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
15 Young Apostles 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
16 Vision 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
17 Debibi United 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
18 Dreams FC 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)